Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 1.231033 1.394198 1.573145 1.784328 2.027208 2.298332 2.624666
2024-12-15 0.993404 1.214585 1.478408 1.817865 2.245316 2.768656 3.462433
2024-12-22 0.841851 1.081739 1.384020 1.795892 2.347096 3.065786 4.084394
2024-12-29 0.749131 1.002463 1.336386 1.813498 2.485406 3.409372 4.796041
2025-01-05 0.664200 0.919522 1.269051 1.788978 2.553797 3.654935 5.391996
2025-01-12 0.599781 0.855668 1.217944 1.776586 2.631267 3.914154 6.032543
2025-01-19 0.528358 0.773358 1.130346 1.698186 2.597040 3.996256 6.401613
2025-01-26 0.495468 0.743919 1.116457 1.727743 2.729155 4.346658 7.244032
2025-02-02 0.468048 0.719626 1.107094 1.761738 2.869565 4.722961 8.176496
2025-02-09 0.439506 0.690598 1.086951 1.774937 2.974827 5.049266 9.060937
2025-02-16 0.413228 0.662635 1.065509 1.782820 3.070067 5.366188 9.967443
2025-02-23 0.394608 0.645448 1.059878 1.816435 3.212929 5.782459 11.118171
2025-03-02 0.364877 0.607721 1.017311 1.782414 3.231948 5.977099 11.870364
2025-03-09 0.350639 0.595446 1.017602 1.825975 3.401340 6.480020 13.334997
2025-03-16 0.327518 0.565584 0.984076 1.802906 3.438519 6.724411 14.280780
2025-03-23 0.312536 0.548986 0.972848 1.820687 3.557727 7.148268 15.686780
2025-03-30 0.293085 0.522691 0.941530 1.796050 3.587168 7.386117 16.699981
2025-04-06 0.276924 0.501262 0.917564 1.783606 3.640285 7.680374 17.891866
2025-04-13 0.254022 0.465475 0.863459 1.704864 3.542894 7.628817 18.223777
2025-04-20 0.245698 0.457028 0.861744 1.734549 3.685880 8.140241 20.065070
2025-04-27 0.238394 0.449999 0.862198 1.768692 3.842295 8.702032 22.133353
2025-05-04 0.229339 0.438837 0.853429 1.781949 3.951928 9.164883 24.012883
2025-05-11 0.220354 0.427175 0.842727 1.789866 4.049679 9.610365 25.921322